Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.034551 0.040492 0.047047 0.054802 0.063710 0.073608 0.085425
2025-04-20 0.026597 0.034562 0.044183 0.056604 0.072147 0.090884 0.115105
2025-04-27 0.021152 0.030113 0.041835 0.058150 0.080108 0.108449 0.147579
2025-05-04 0.016242 0.025154 0.037690 0.056368 0.083189 0.119951 0.173701
2025-05-11 0.013018 0.021767 0.034906 0.055707 0.087332 0.133010 0.203180
2025-05-18 0.010369 0.018634 0.031833 0.053934 0.089340 0.142965 0.229090
2025-05-25 0.008455 0.016255 0.029440 0.052688 0.091747 0.153494 0.256692
2025-06-01 0.007205 0.014739 0.028155 0.052940 0.096400 0.167774 0.291338
2025-06-08 0.005966 0.012979 0.026122 0.051534 0.097972 0.177083 0.318718
2025-06-15 0.005462 0.012529 0.026365 0.054176 0.106798 0.199237 0.369434
2025-06-22 0.004737 0.011477 0.025283 0.054150 0.110737 0.213259 0.407394
2025-06-29 0.003989 0.010219 0.023574 0.052628 0.111624 0.221836 0.436384
2025-07-06 0.003386 0.009176 0.022169 0.051580 0.113418 0.232477 0.470616
2025-07-13 0.003148 0.008956 0.022505 0.054220 0.122891 0.258484 0.535889
2025-07-20 0.002888 0.008623 0.022535 0.056197 0.131224 0.283075 0.600668
2025-07-27 0.002452 0.007733 0.021114 0.054713 0.132033 0.292847 0.637414
2025-08-03 0.002135 0.007091 0.020175 0.054191 0.134844 0.306881 0.683816
2025-08-10 0.001810 0.006346 0.018846 0.052522 0.134848 0.315030 0.718851
2025-08-17 0.001555 0.005746 0.017781 0.051336 0.135792 0.325204 0.758898
2025-08-24 0.001390 0.005390 0.017312 0.051597 0.140174 0.343207 0.817016
2025-08-31 0.001192 0.004871 0.016287 0.050231 0.140413 0.351981 0.855783
2025-09-07 0.001139 0.004842 0.016691 0.052815 0.150820 0.384752 0.950235
2025-09-14 0.001017 0.004531 0.016191 0.052792 0.154550 0.402374 1.011956